Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 417.943702 474.689829 537.553882 612.574985 699.945367 798.816160 919.637418
2026-01-11 334.433461 409.073613 499.177586 616.833761 767.688832 956.337755 1212.807931
2026-01-18 282.624169 362.314420 463.945856 604.682214 797.064325 1054.568562 1431.673998
2026-01-25 245.933217 327.276201 435.683546 593.146529 820.075395 1141.638466 1643.441665
2026-02-01 226.462431 311.546280 429.495431 608.394955 879.031137 1283.422905 1953.577767
2026-02-08 205.654586 290.949612 413.202843 605.629188 909.214719 1384.439998 2215.271174
2026-02-15 187.497151 271.887918 396.473681 599.178008 931.345454 1473.884801 2470.596197
2026-02-22 174.664137 259.222377 387.588458 603.139997 969.481351 1593.058597 2795.918985
2026-03-01 160.591781 243.185565 371.657369 593.452497 982.789550 1670.455012 3056.887888
2026-03-08 149.550136 230.828127 360.212929 589.598302 1005.027085 1765.680012 3367.575061
2026-03-15 136.437664 213.985340 339.858457 568.094949 992.595196 1794.304599 3547.847429
2026-03-22 132.220854 211.348483 342.799600 587.668016 1057.987848 1980.388135 4094.309278
2026-03-29 128.513895 209.440072 347.107972 610.789230 1134.457710 2202.967615 4776.257730
2026-04-05 121.854512 201.927693 340.968209 613.804074 1171.777704 2350.908678 5319.716406
2026-04-12 113.672689 191.067902 327.837659 601.866761 1176.699682 2429.232242 5709.130311
2026-04-19 106.343072 181.166692 315.609468 590.375721 1180.964378 2506.457567 6112.954410
2026-04-26 103.166580 178.538376 316.632612 605.543941 1244.748709 2731.032191 6966.842615
2026-05-03 98.005538 171.846428 309.363077 602.792866 1268.101599 2862.592392 7592.526801
2026-05-10 92.840715 164.775851 300.785754 596.376551 1282.149339 2973.271983 8185.131539
2026-05-17 89.244696 160.433976 297.206835 600.317150 1321.025418 3153.835156 9042.259771
2026-05-24 84.471037 153.489433 287.887126 590.681904 1325.806197 3245.085734 9636.732066
2026-05-31 80.643733 148.151045 281.431714 586.848462 1344.514482 3377.601218 10408.901951
2026-06-07 75.380861 139.639921 267.844875 565.460508 1316.096006 3373.357312 10700.548788